Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.559529 0.705759 0.862845 1.042241 1.239702 1.448880 1.685750
2025-03-09 0.309449 0.493667 0.713338 0.984803 1.303049 1.657553 2.076142
2025-03-16 0.192422 0.382531 0.630244 0.954620 1.351047 1.806337 2.356904
2025-03-23 0.131159 0.325510 0.600228 0.977326 1.452831 2.010940 2.696925
2025-03-30 0.083263 0.271192 0.561843 0.979747 1.522084 2.170921 2.979568
2025-04-06 0.045258 0.216431 0.512245 0.959483 1.557031 2.285304 3.204911
2025-04-13 0.030633 0.199707 0.515452 1.007945 1.677300 2.501725 3.550345
2025-04-20 0.019931 0.185499 0.519623 1.055812 1.795540 2.714889 3.891441
2025-04-27 0.012924 0.176115 0.529718 1.110903 1.922512 2.938470 4.244954
2025-05-04 0.010387 0.180107 0.562620 1.199187 2.093637 3.217330 4.665834
2025-05-11 0.005992 0.171475 0.571431 1.251008 2.215575 3.434433 5.011683
2025-05-18 0.001646 0.150919 0.555152 1.263397 2.283247 3.582541 5.272915
2025-05-25 NaN 0.110479 0.495050 1.208803 2.263217 3.625645 5.414380
2025-06-01 NaN 0.074411 0.432579 1.144855 2.227336 3.647286 5.529391
2025-06-08 NaN 0.052386 0.392961 1.112616 2.231780 3.717328 5.700878
2025-06-15 NaN 0.044365 0.387509 1.137102 2.316811 3.892138 6.003290
2025-06-22 NaN 0.033932 0.370546 1.139761 2.369200 4.023495 6.250741
2025-06-29 NaN 0.022077 0.341366 1.117785 2.383872 4.104028 6.433389
2025-07-06 NaN 0.021006 0.352728 1.170292 2.509021 4.331460 6.802218
2025-07-13 NaN 0.019939 0.363711 1.222063 2.633160 4.557712 7.169803
2025-07-20 NaN 0.019793 0.378735 1.281544 2.768999 4.799796 7.557775
2025-07-27 NaN 0.023617 0.412425 1.376655 2.958549 5.113948 8.037673
2025-08-03 NaN 0.022966 0.425341 1.432373 3.089066 5.349331 8.417670